Penrith Nepean United vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SYD
0 - 1
PNU
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PNU
2 - 2
BLA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
PNU
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PNU
3 - 0
BCL
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PNU
4 - 1
BAB
19%
24%
58%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 3
API
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
BAB
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +4 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WOL
1 - 4
MAN
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SUT
2 - 1
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |