Penrith Nepean United vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
PNU
2 - 1
SYD
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
WOL
1 - 0
PNU
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
PNU
0 - 1
BCL
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
API
1 - 0
PNU
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PNU
1 - 4
BLA
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 2
BLA
15%
21%
65%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 2
SYD
20%
25%
55%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SYD
0 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
SUT
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |