Penrith Nepean United vs Macarthur Rams SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SYD
2 - 2
PNU
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PNU
0 - 4
MAN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SYD
0 - 1
PNU
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PNU
2 - 2
BLA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
PNU
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macarthur Rams SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 3
API
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
SYD
14%
21%
65%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SYD
0 - 0
MAC
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SUT
2 - 0
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BCL
2 - 1
MAC
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |