Penrith AFC vs Whickham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
PEN
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
SEA
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 4
BTF
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
BRF
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
GUI
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Whickham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRF
0 - 3
WHI
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
WHI
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 1
GUI
29%
23%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TOW
2 - 3
WHI
17%
20%
63%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 5
SHI
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |