Penrith AFC vs Shildon AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
9 - 3
RAF
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
WHI
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CCF
3 - 2
PEN
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HEA
3 - 2
PEN
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
BRF
5 - 1
PEN
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 1
SHI
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 5
BIS
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 3
SHI
43%
22%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 3
WES
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -3 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
RAF
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |