Penrith AFC vs Seaham Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
PEN
84%
10%
5%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
SRC
0 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
CON
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
5 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
WHI
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Seaham Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 1
SEA
23%
21%
57%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SEA
1 - 0
WHI
27%
22%
50%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEL
3 - 3
SEA
40%
22%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SEA
1 - 2
NOR
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 2
SEA
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |