Penrith AFC vs Pickering Town CFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 1
PEN
42%
23%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
THO
1 - 2
PEN
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SEA
0 - 0
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 1
PEN
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
WHI
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pickering Town CFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
5 - 2
PIC
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PIC
0 - 3
WHI
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PIC
2 - 1
ASH
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
THO
1 - 0
PIC
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PIC
2 - 1
CEL
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |