Penrith AFC vs Pickering Town CFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SEA
4 - 2
PEN
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 4
CUM
8%
15%
78%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
ALB
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
WHI
3 - 1
PEN
42%
22%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
WHI
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pickering Town CFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
PIC
1 - 1
KEN
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
WID
3 - 2
PIC
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 1
BRI
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RUN
2 - 1
PIC
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
PIC
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |