Penrith AFC vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SHI
0 - 2
PEN
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 1
NEW
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 4
CUR
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAD
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PAD
3 - 1
CLI
21%
23%
57%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +4 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
RAM
1 - 2
PAD
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAN
10%
16%
75%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +2 |