Penrith AFC vs Newton Aycliffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 2
SUN
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 1
PEN
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
WHI
2 - 0
PEN
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
BIS
23%
20%
56%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
RAF
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 3
NEW
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MOS
1 - 0
NEW
37%
23%
41%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SRC
0 - 2
NEW
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +2 |