Penrith AFC vs Bishop Auckland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
72.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 5
NEW
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
NOR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 3
PEN
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BTF
2 - 1
PEN
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SHI
6 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bishop Auckland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
WES
0 - 4
BIS
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 1
BIS
4%
14%
83%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
3 - 0
CEL
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEA
2 - 1
BIS
28%
24%
49%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BTF
1 - 4
BIS
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | +1 |