Penrhyncoch FC vs Nomads at Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RTW
0 - 1
PEN
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
3 - 0
PEN
84%
11%
4%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAE
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
BUC
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
ABE
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads at Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
DEN
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
NAC
87%
10%
3%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
RHY
4 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |