Penrhyncoch FC vs Flint Mountain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 0
MOL
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
LLW
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 3
AIR
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 2
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
4 - 1
CAE
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Flint Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
FMC
1 - 2
AIR
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LLA
1 - 0
FMC
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LLW
1 - 1
FMC
17%
18%
65%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
FMC
4 - 0
CPD
50%
23%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
FMC
3 - 0
MOL
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |