Penrhyncoch FC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+156%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
52%
22%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RHY
2 - 0
PEN
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
AEL
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RHY
4 - 2
PEN
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 4
GUI
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
RHY
1 - 0
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CON
3 - 4
LLA
65%
19%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
CON
5 - 0
RTW
82%
12%
5%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |