Penrhyncoch FC vs Caersws analysis

Penrhyncoch FC Caersws
26 ELO 33
8.6% Tilt 6.2%
6675º General ELO ranking 6393º
50º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
36.9%
Penrhyncoch FC
22.9%
Draw
40.2%
Caersws

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
Penrhyncoch FC
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.2%
Win probability
Caersws
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Penrhyncoch FC
+86%
-34%
Caersws

ELO progression

Penrhyncoch FC
Caersws
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penrhyncoch FC
Penrhyncoch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2016
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 3
Buckley Town
BUC
33%
24%
43%
28 37 9 0
07 Sep. 2016
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 2
Aberystwyth Town
ABE
11%
18%
72%
28 60 32 0
03 Sep. 2016
CON
Conwy Borough FC
3 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
60%
20%
20%
30 31 1 -2
30 Aug. 2016
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
1 - 2
Llanfair United
LLA
83%
11%
6%
30 20 10 0
27 Aug. 2016
HOL
Holywell
1 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
78%
13%
9%
30 44 14 0

Matches

Caersws
Caersws
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2016
CAE
Caersws
0 - 3
Holywell
HOL
40%
22%
39%
34 42 8 0
02 Sep. 2016
BUC
Buckley Town
4 - 3
Caersws
CAE
53%
21%
26%
34 36 2 0
30 Aug. 2016
CAE
Caersws
2 - 2
Guilsfield FC
GUI
23%
23%
54%
34 47 13 0
27 Aug. 2016
MOL
Mold Alexandra
1 - 3
Caersws
CAE
40%
23%
38%
32 28 4 +2
20 Aug. 2016
CAE
Caersws
3 - 2
Ruthin Town
RTW
80%
13%
7%
32 22 10 0