Pennarossa vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 1
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
DOM
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FAE
0 - 1
PEN
38%
27%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAI
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 0
SGI
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
4 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
VIR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TFI
2 - 2
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |