Pennarossa vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 3
PEN
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 3
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FAE
2 - 0
PEN
33%
27%
41%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
FAE
45%
25%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
PEN
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 4
TPE
34%
24%
41%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 6
SGI
68%
19%
14%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |