Pennarossa vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
4 - 2
FIO
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 2
PEN
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
4 - 2
DOM
46%
23%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
CAI
1 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 1
PEN
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 2
MUR
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
COS
3 - 2
VIR
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
FIO
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 0
VIR
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
VIR
4 - 0
TPE
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |