Pennarossa vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 2
PEN
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAI
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
PEN
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TFI
3 - 3
FIO
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 3
TFI
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TFI
3 - 1
FIO
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
TFI
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
TFI
3 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |