Pennarossa vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
PEN
3 - 1
DOM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
88%
9%
3%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
MUR
3 - 2
SGI
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 0
MUR
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAI
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 0
COS
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
0 - 5
MUR
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |