Pennarossa vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
PEN
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
FIO
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 1
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
PEN
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 1
DOM
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TPE
0 - 3
LIB
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIB
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |