Pennarossa vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 3
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
MUR
0 - 1
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIR
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
2 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 1
LIB
29%
24%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 1
LIB
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
SGI
0 - 2
LIB
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |