Pennarossa vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SGI
9 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
7%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 3
FAE
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
COS
6 - 2
PEN
88%
9%
2%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAI
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 0
PEN
84%
13%
3%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIO
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TPE
2 - 1
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
FOL
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |