Pennarossa vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TPE
3 - 2
PEN
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 2
JUV
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
TFI
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 0
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | -3 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
SGI
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 1
DOM
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |