Pennarossa vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
7 - 3
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 3
PEN
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
5 - 1
COS
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DOM
4 - 0
PEN
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
12%
23%
65%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 2
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TFI
1 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |