Pennarossa vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
TPE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
PEN
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
FOL
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAE
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 1
DOM
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
FOL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOL
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |