Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 1
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 1
PEN
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
SGI
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
5 - 0
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIB
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 0
DOM
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
5 - 2
DOM
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |