Pennarossa vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
2 - 2
TPE
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
LIB
0 - 2
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
4 - 5
PEN
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PEN
3 - 2
TFI
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
FAE
1 - 1
DOM
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 3
FAE
24%
25%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SGI
2 - 1
FAE
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 0
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 2
FAE
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |