Pennarossa vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 3
PEN
13%
20%
67%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
PEN
1 - 0
FIO
88%
9%
3%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
TPE
0 - 1
PEN
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
DOM
1 - 3
TPE
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FOL
0 - 4
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TFI
0 - 0
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
DOM
2 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
0 - 2
DOM
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |