Pennarossa vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
FOL
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 0
TFI
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
4 - 3
PEN
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
COS
4 - 3
SGI
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
30%
24%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |