Pennarossa vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 3
TFI
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 3
PEN
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
ZEL
4 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 5
ZEL
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 2
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
TPE
5 - 1
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
TFI
0 - 3
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
COS
0 - 4
MUR
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
COS
0 - 3
DOM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |