Pennarossa vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIR
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
4 - 2
FIO
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 2
PEN
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
PEN
4 - 2
DOM
46%
23%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
CAI
1 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
DOM
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
COS
2 - 0
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CAI
0 - 3
COS
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
COS
3 - 2
VIR
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |