Peninsula Power vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 6
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
LOG
84%
10%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 4
PEN
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 4
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
EAS
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 5
ROC
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
QUE
3 - 1
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
EAS
11%
18%
72%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
LOG
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |