Peninsula Power vs SC Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
11º
3º
22
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 1
PEN
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 2
PEN
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
GOL
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
GCK
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WYN
2 - 1
PEN
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
SC Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
GCK
13%
21%
67%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WYN
3 - 2
SUN
14%
16%
70%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RED
2 - 2
SUN
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 5
MOR
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |