Peninsula Power vs Mt Gravatt Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CAP
3 - 2
PEN
47%
23%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 2
BRI
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ROC
4 - 3
PEN
61%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
EAS
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
4 - 0
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mt Gravatt Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MGH
3 - 5
RED
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PIN
2 - 0
MGH
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MGH
0 - 3
OLY
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MGH
3 - 2
CAP
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BRI
6 - 0
MGH
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |