Peninsula Power vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 3
PEN
37%
21%
41%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 3
EAS
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 2
IPS
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
MIT
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 3
MIT
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
MIT
26%
20%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MIT
4 - 1
GRA
62%
19%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |