Peninsula Power vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 1
SUN
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
GCK
2 - 3
PEN
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 7
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 4
QUE
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 0
QUE
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
BRI
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 4
SUN
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
LOG
1 - 3
CAP
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
LOG
1 - 4
BRI
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
LOG
2 - 1
MIT
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |