Peninsula Power vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 3
PEN
25%
22%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
PEN
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
PEN
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PEN
6 - 2
BRI
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LOG
0 - 1
PEN
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
IPS
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 1
LOG
45%
24%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 0
IPS
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IPS
2 - 0
EAS
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
IPS
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |