Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OLY
1 - 2
PEN
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 2
NOR
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 1
PEN
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
6 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 6
PEN
31%
22%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
OLY
30%
22%
47%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
EAS
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 1
CAP
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 4
EAS
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 2
EAS
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |