Peninsula Power vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 0
RED
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
BRI
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
0 - 3
PEN
17%
18%
66%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
RED
1 - 2
PEN
11%
15%
74%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
BRR
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
3 - 5
CAP
44%
22%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CAP
2 - 3
BRI
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
GOL
2 - 1
CAP
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CAP
3 - 2
62%
18%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 4
OLY
17%
17%
66%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |