Peninsula Power vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
MIT
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 3
PEN
37%
21%
41%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
CAP
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 2
LOG
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
EAS
3 - 1
CAP
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
QUE
5 - 1
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 7
HPH
37%
21%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |