Peninsula Power vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
QUE
0 - 0
PEN
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
HPH
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 1
NPI
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 4
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 5
QUE
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HPH
2 - 0
CAP
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 1
ROC
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 0
CAP
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |