Peninsula Power vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
PEN
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 5
QUE
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
IPS
0 - 2
PEN
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
5 - 1
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 2
PEN
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
BRI
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
1 - 1
CAP
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 7
WOL
21%
22%
56%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 5
CAP
15%
20%
66%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 9
CAP
8%
17%
75%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | -1 |