Peninsula Power vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
PEN
9%
17%
74%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
TAR
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 4
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NPI
2 - 2
PEN
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
RED
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 1
EAS
47%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAP
4 - 1
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 0
CAP
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAP
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
QUE
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |