Peninsula Power vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 5
PEN
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
EAS
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
PEN
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
MGH
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
NPI
2 - 1
PEN
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 2
OLY
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
TAR
3 - 2
CAP
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
CAP
2 - 1
UNI
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 1
CAP
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 2
WOL
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |