Peninsula Power vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
BRI
3 - 3
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 4
ROC
31%
23%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
EAS
0 - 3
PEN
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
PEN
3 - 0
PIN
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 3
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
CAP
2 - 2
RED
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
PIN
0 - 4
CAP
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
CAP
5 - 0
MGH
76%
15%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
OLY
1 - 0
CAP
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAP
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |