Peninsula Power vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 2
PEN
20%
21%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNI
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 2
QUE
19%
20%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 3
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 1
ALB
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 2
ROC
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
WOL
6 - 1
ALB
87%
8%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |