Peninsula Power vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
WOL
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
PEN
31%
24%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
PEN
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 5
QUE
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 3
CAP
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 1
ALB
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 2
ALB
15%
20%
66%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
ALB
12%
19%
70%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 4
ALB
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |