Penicuik Athletic vs Newtongrange Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
IHS
88%
10%
3%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
PEN
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 1
PEN
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
DUN
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TYN
0 - 2
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Newtongrange Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
TYN
29%
20%
52%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BLU
2 - 4
NEW
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIN
11%
16%
73%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 4
DUN
40%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
NEW
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |