Penicuik Athletic vs Dunbar United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TYN
0 - 2
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
4 - 0
WHI
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
HBH
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 3
PEN
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
TRA
45%
21%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
6 - 3
DUN
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LOT
2 - 1
DUN
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 1
LOT
33%
21%
47%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 2
TRA
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
3 - 2
DUN
49%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |